Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for BERYL-12 in United States from 26 May 2012 03:00 UTC to 30 May 2012 21:00 UTC

30 May 2012 21 UTC

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Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BERYL-12 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	United States
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	93 km/h
Maximum storm surge	n.a.
Vulnerability	Low (United States)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	84 km/h	n.a.	n.a.	0.5
Overall	93 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

84 km/h Current Max.

Up to 6.8 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	26 May 2012 03:00	84	No people	No people	United States
2	26 May 2012 09:00	84	No people	No people	United States
3	26 May 2012 15:00	84	No people	No people	United States
4	26 May 2012 21:00	84	No people	No people	United States
7	27 May 2012 15:00	93	No people	No people	United States
13	29 May 2012 03:00	74	No people	No people	United States
14	29 May 2012 09:00	74	No people	No people	United States
17	30 May 2012 03:00	74	No people	No people	United States
18	30 May 2012 09:00	74	No people	No people	United States
19	30 May 2012 15:00	84	No people	No people	United States
20	30 May 2012 21:00	84	No people	No people	United States

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	5/26/2012 3:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	32.5, -74.8
2	5/26/2012 9:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	32.3, -75.6
3	5/26/2012 3:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	31.6, -76.3
4	5/26/2012 9:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	31.5, -76.6
5		Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	30.8, -77.2
6		Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	30.5, -78.8
7	5/27/2012 3:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	93	no people	2.3 million people	30.1, -79.6	United States
8		Tropical storm	101	no people	4.1 million people	30, -80.3	United States
9		Tropical storm	111	no people	6 million people	30.2, -81.1	United States
10		Tropical storm	84	no people	6.7 million people	30.3, -82	United States
11		Tropical depression	56	no people	4.7 million people	30.5, -82.7	United States
12		Tropical depression	47	no people	4.1 million people	30.8, -83.1	United States
13	5/29/2012 3:00:00 AM	Tropical depression	47	no people	3.7 million people	30.8, -83.4	United States
14	5/29/2012 9:00:00 AM	Tropical depression	47	no people	4.6 million people	30.9, -83.4	United States
15		Tropical depression	47	no people	5.1 million people	31.5, -82.9	United States
16		Tropical depression	47	no people	5.9 million people	31.8, -82.5	United States
17	5/30/2012 3:00:00 AM	Tropical depression	47	no people	5.5 million people	32.2, -81.3	United States
18	5/30/2012 9:00:00 AM	Tropical depression	56	no people	6.7 million people	33.1, -79.8	United States
19	5/30/2012 3:00:00 PM	Tropical depression	56	no people	4.3 million people	34.2, -78	United States
20	5/30/2012 9:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	64	no people	700000 people	34.9, -76.1	United States
20	5/31/2012 6:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	36.2, -73.2
20	5/31/2012 6:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	37.8, -68.5
20	6/1/2012 6:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	39.1, -63.1
20	6/1/2012 6:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	39.3, -57.5
20	6/2/2012 6:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	39, -44.5

Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Provinces

Country	Region Province
United States	Florida
United States	Georgia
United States	North Carolina
United States	Virginia

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Savannah	Georgia	United States	City	130000 people
Hinesville	Georgia	United States	City	30000 people
Fitzgerald	Georgia	United States	City	8800 people
Jesup	Georgia	United States	City	9300 people
Douglas	Georgia	United States	City	11000 people
Tifton	Georgia	United States	City	15000 people
Waycross	Georgia	United States	City	15000 people
Brunswick	Georgia	United States	City	16000 people
Moultrie	Georgia	United States	City	14000 people
Valdosta	Georgia	United States	City	44000 people
Fernandina Beach	Florida	United States	City	11000 people
Live Oak	Florida	United States	City	6500 people
Lake City	Florida	United States	City	10000 people
Perry	Florida	United States	City	6800 people
Titusville	Florida	United States	City	41000 people
Sanford	Florida	United States	City	38000 people
Leesburg	Florida	United States	City	16000 people
Eustis	Florida	United States	City	15000 people
New Smyrna Beach	Florida	United States	City	20000 people
Ocala	Florida	United States	City	46000 people
Daytona Beach	Florida	United States	City	64000 people
Palatka	Florida	United States	City	10000 people
Gainesville	Florida	United States	City	95000 people
Saint Augustine	Florida	United States	City	12000 people
Jacksonville	Florida	United States	Major city	740000 people
Orlando	Florida	United States	Major city	190000 people
Greenville	North Carolina	United States	City	60000 people
Deltona	Florida	United States	City	70000 people
Camden	North Carolina	United States	City	-
Currituck	North Carolina	United States	City	-
DeLand	Florida	United States	City	-
Statenville	Georgia	United States	City	-
Merritt Island	Florida	United States	City	36000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.